Saturday, August 15, 2020

2020 2Q GDP

BNM announced on Friday the GDP in the second quarter shrank by 17.1% year-on-year, which was worse than market expectations and the worst single-quarter performance in history. The median forecasts of the "Reuters" and "Bloomberg" surveys are 10% and 10.1%, respectively. Faced with the Asian financial turmoil in 1998, GDP fell only 11.2% at the final quarter. Bank Negara cut its annual GDP forecast to a contraction of 3.5% to 5.5%. The economy is expected to rebound by 5.5% to 8% next year.

国家银行周五公布,我国次季国内生产总值(GDP)按年萎缩17.1%,比市场预期来得差,是有史以来最差单季表现。《路透社》和《彭博社》调查的预测中值分别为10%和10.1%。1998年面对亚洲金融风暴,当年末季GDP只跌11.2%。国行将全年GDP预测下砍至萎缩3.5%至5.5%。明年经济有望反弹5.5%至8%。